The idea that Donald Trump might win the elections has stirred which is the future of the relations between the UK and the US. It is common knowledge that Trump does not have a conventional approach to foreign policy: his first presidency was characterized by a number of unconventional and often quite bold decisions.
The Special Relationship: A Brief Overview of US and UK
For a considerable period of time, the term ‘specially linked’ has often referred to the relationship of the United Kingdom and the United States. This is due to a number of factors namely their shared history, values and interests.. Whether managing global disputes or assisting in international business, this relationship has remained the foundation of foreign policies.
There have, however, been some tensions between the US and the UK in the recent past especially given the rise of different political ideals on either side of the Atlantic. The UK’s relationship with the US becomes much more essential as the UK distances itself from the European Union. It is essential then to assess the scenarios envisaged by a second Trump era and how this may affect the future of this alliance.
Trump Foreign Policy towards the UK
Trump was one who pushed for less involvement internationally even if it meant at times going against some of the historic partners. Among other things, needless to say, Trump’s position towards NATO, climate change and global treaties was different than that what was comfortable to the UK.
If Trump were to again become president it is likely that those positions will not shift. He does not seem particularly interested in multilateral agreements, opting instead for bilateral ones. This could have various implications for the UK as it attempts to forge out new relationships in a post-brexit period.
Trade Agreements and Economic Ties
Trump’s presidency would also have a bearing on UK trade relations with the US, which is important in British foreign policy. . This scenario could easily replicate with the UK under similar administration. Trump might expect to unilaterally conclude a trade agreement with the UK for the benefit of the US economy.
But, the UK has already managed to get a deal with the EU post Brexit yet it could find itself grappling with the prospect of a more key demanding Presidency. Negotiations over agricultural exports, regulatory standards, and tariffs could be tough ones. Inconsistency in US foreign policies under Trump might lead to UK being unable to maintain decent economic relations with the US while incorporating other foreign policies.
The UK’s Role in Global Security Under Trump
The UK has been one of the primary allies of the US in global security architecture and NATO, Of which the UK’s contribution has been considerable. Trump’s first term was characterized with criticism from him towards NATO countries that failed to meet the target spending on defense. If Trump gets the opportunity to come back into office, the UK may once again be pressured to expunge holes in its defense expenditure.
The Leadership style of Trump and how it impacts his relationships with other countries
Trained in a more unconventional style, Trump’s decision-making revolves around vigorous and simple negotiations.
For the UK, it might imply a fluctuation in UK diplomatic interactions. UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and other UK officials will be caught between supporting the US.
Public Perception on Bases of Trump in the UK
Trump is a controversial figure in British politics. His supporters argue that he puts America first, therby advocating for national and economic security. However, his critics argue that he promotes division. The special relationship is a dominant feature in British politics and the public takes a keen interest in this relationship to the extent that a change in America’s policies towards the U.K. would have domestic ramifications.
In the event that Trump wins the election in 2024, the United Kingdom would have to navigate through some tried times in international relations owing to the different opinions held by the public on Trump. Due to his polarizing nature, Trump’s potential election victory would place pressure on possible UK leaders.In such a way that they would have to balance the special relationship with public opinion.
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The Long-Term Outlook: A New Era of US-UK relations?
The possibility of Trump winning a second term is likely to change the US-UK relations for the better or worse. While the “America first” agenda of Trump looks set to cause more friction in diplomacy, trade as well as Defence expenditure. This could also create the environment for no nonsense diplomacy where inter country agreements are easier to negotiate.
While both the nations now have new challenges to contend with. Click here for the source
